Flames Post-Game Patience pays off against Philly

The Calgary Flames were a good hockey team on Saturday night against the Philadelphia Flyers, avoiding the traditional post road trip letdown game. But the Flyers were quite solid, too. But the Flames were equal parts structured and relentless, sticking to their system and eventually relying on timely scoring to give themselves another victory.

The Flames beat the Flyers by a 4-0 score to extend their winning streak to six in a row.

The rundown

Neither team scored in the first period. The Flames had some zone time, but the Flyers did a fine job keeping them contained to the outside of the zone. Shots were 8-4 Flames (7-4 Flames five-on-five) and scoring chances 14-4 Flames in the first period.

The Flames kept pressing in the second period and did a nice job finding holes in the Flyers’ defensive structure and translating zone time into scoring chances. The Flames had the first 13 shots of the period and the Flyers ended up going 14:31 between shots on goal.

But the Flames finally broke through midway through the period. Rasmus Andersson wandered in from the point and found Sean Monahan’s stick at the side of the crease with a sneaky slap-pass that Monahan redirected past Carter Hart to give Calgary a 1-0 lead.

Shots were 16-5 Flames (10-4 Flames five-on-five) and scoring chances 9-2 Flames in the second period.

The Flames added to their lead in the third period. On another power play, Elias Lindholm and Matthew Tkachuk exchanged rapid-fire passes down low and Tkachuk ended up burying a shot past Hart to give the Flames a 2-0 lead.

Mikael Backlund added an empty netter to make it 3-0 Flames late to cement the victory.

And Johnny Gaudreau added insult to injury late in the game. He entered the Flyers zone on a two-on-one with Lindholm. He used Lindholm as a decoy and the Flyers defender as a screen, picking the near corner on Hart to make it a 4-0 Flames lead.

Shots were 12-11 Flames (9-8 Flames at five-on-five) and scoring chances 6-6 in the third period.

Why the Flames won

Credit where it’s due: playing their third game in four nights (with travel), the Flyers played a really smart, structured road game. They didn’t look tired either. But the Flames matched their structure with some structure and consistency of their own. The Flames seem confident in the style of game they’re playing, and they were downright stubborn and didn’t break formation all evening.

Red Warrior

Let’s go with Tkachuk. He was all over the game in positive ways. He drew penalties. He created chances. He scored a goal.

Stick-taps to Jacob Markström. He wasn’t busy, necessarily, but he was sharp and engaged when called upon.

The turning point

Let’s go with… the second period as a whole. The Flames imposed their will on that period and the Flyers were extremely fortunate to escape the period only down by one goal.

The numbers

Data via Natural Stat Trick. Percentage stats are 5v5.

Expected
Goals For%
O-Zone
Face-Off%
Game
Score
Lindholm 87.1 53.9 2.55
Tanev 85.9 45.5 2.60
Kylington 85.7 45.5 1.93
Mangiapane 79.8 75.0 0.43
Dube 79.8 75.0 0.60
Andersson 72.7 69.2 2.61
Backlund 65.6 57.1 1.39
Pitlick 65.6 57.1 1.15
Gaudreau 62.8 53.9 1.70
Ritchie 61.3 75.0 -0.06
Tkachuk 61.3 53.9 2.27
Lewis 60.9 33.3 0.24
Coleman 54.3 57.1 0.90
Hanifin 50.7 69.2 0.55
Lucic 44.4 33.3 -0.22
Zadorov 39.2 33.3 -0.18
Monahan 33.4 33.3 1.00
Gudbranson 19.7 33.3 -0.85
Markström 1.51
Vladar

This and that

The alternate captains were Mikael Backlund, Sean Monahan and Matthew Tkachuk. (Aside from the season-opener in Edmonton, these have been the consistent lettermen thus far.)

Elias Lindholm picked up an assist on Monahan’s goal for his 188th point with the Flames. That tied his output from his time with the Carolina Hurricanes. He hit that total in 374 games with the ‘Canes and just 215 games with Calgary. (His second assist exceeded his Carolina output.)

Up next

The Flames (6-1-1) are back in action on Tuesday when they host the Nashville Predators.

Canucks game day Canucks hoping shakeup to power play will lead to victory against Edmonton

Losers of their past — and first — two home games of the season, the Vancouver Canucks held a practice at Scotia Barn, AKA 8 Rinks, in Burnaby yesterday.

The players were keeping things light and their spirits seemed to be high. It appeared clear that the players aren’t in any sort of panic mode, and that they fully believe things are going to turn around sooner or later.

As head coach Travis Green said yesterday, the Canucks’ top guys are going to start scoring sooner or later at five-on-five.

Right…!?

The Canucks have a date with the 5-1 Edmonton Oilers tonight from Rogers Arena in Vancouver, as the Canucks continue to search for their first home win of the season.

Lineups

The Canucks didn’t hold morning skate today. Instead, they had an optional morning skate. Here are the notes from that:

  • Tyler Motte, who Travis Green said yesterday is on pace to join the Canucks’ main practice group sometime during this homestand, took part in the skate today. That would suggest that Motte is getting closer and closer to returning.
  • Thatcher Demko starts in goal for the Canucks, and Mikko Koskinen will start for the Oilers.

The Canucks’ big shakeup at practice yesterday didn’t come in the form of their 5v5 lines. Instead, it was their power play that got some new looks.

It will be interesting to see if the Canucks change up their set plays a bit with this new personnel. Teams have a read on the two or three plays the Canucks like to go to, and if they don’t change it up a bit, this new personnel will likely be a moot point.

What was said

Travis Green said we’ll see if either Jason Dickinson or Tucker Poolman slot back into the lineup tonight, but wouldn’t say much more.

Green also talked about Quinn Hughes matching up against Connor McDavid in the past.

“He’s a smart player, he’s a fast player. He’s more than capable of playing against a lot of players in the league, he’s shown that. We have confidence in him.”

Justin Bailey knows the opportunity that lies in front of him after being called up from the Abbotsford Canucks. He’s been used on the penalty kill, and if he wants to stick with the team, he’ll need to continue to show he knows how to get the job done short-handed.

Tonight could be a major test of Bailey’s PK abilities.

“Any time you’re playing 3rd or 4th line, you want to be responsible in all aspects of your game, especially on the PK,” said Bailey. “It’s something that I’m working hard on.”

Puck drop is at 7 PM tonight from Rogers Arena.

Risky Business We demand McPoints

I’m not going to lie to you fine citizens, my betting record hasn’t been too hot over the first couple of weeks of the NHL season but I’m starting to come around and I feel like tonight will be my night. We be bettin’, fam!

LAST GAME

As you can see, my bets from game six went poorly once more, and there is an endless amount of work to do if I’m ever going to turn this betting thing into a paying proposition.

Player Prop:

Jesse Puljujarvi over 2.5 shots at +100 ✅

Easy Money:

First period over 1.5 goals at -172 ✅

Risky Business:

Warren Foegele to score at +400

Can’t Miss Parlay:

Washington on ML, Toronto on ML, and Edmonton on the ML for +233

TONIGHT…

The Oilers take on the Vancouver Canucks for the second time this season, and I feel like this Pacific Division matchup is exactly what the boys need to get themselves back in the win column.

Player Prop:

Jesse Puljujarvi over  2.5 shots at +110

Easy Money:

First period over 1.5 total goals at -154

Risky Business:

Evan Bouchard at +500

Can’t Miss Parlay:

Pittsburgh on ML, Toronto on ML, Edmonton on ML, and St. Louis on ML for +446

And there you have it. Now that you know what I’m betting on — I threw one unit down on each bet btw — feel free to hit me up in the comments section to let me know what you’re looking at for tonight’s game.

Risky Business is Sponsored by PointsBet Canada

Follow PointsBet on Twitter at @PointsBetCanada!

Top 3 breakout players early in 2021-22

The first few weeks of the NHL season have produced some interesting and unexpected storylines.

The Florida Panthers look like they might never lose again, the Chicago Blackhawks look like they might never win again and the Buffalo Sabres already have more wins than most people expected them to have all season.

Also, the NHL’s scoring leaderboard is littered with a handful of names you would expect to see towards the top of the chart in terms of goals and points. Let’s go through some unexpected players putting together what appears to be breakout seasons early on.

Chandler Stephenson

The Vegas Golden Knights are surviving their injury troubles thanks largely to a completely unexpected name.

They’re currently without Max Pacioretty and Mark Stone, as two-thirds of their top line got injured in the same game a couple of weeks ago. The guy stepping up and filling the void? Chandler Stephenson.

The Golden Knights acquired Stephenson, a guy who largely played as the Washington Capitals’ fourth-line center, back in 2019 in exchange for a fifth-round pick.

He became Vegas’ de facto top center in 2021, serving as the pivot between Stone and Pacioretty because William Karlsson has chemistry playing with Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith. While the Golden Knights have always been searching for a legitimate top-line center, Stephenson quietly produced 14 goals and 35 points over 51 games last year.

This year, he’s been Vegas’ MVP.

Through eight games, Stephenson has nine points, which is nearly as many as he had in 64 games for the Capitals in 2018-19. Meanwhile, the next-highest scorer on the Golden Knights (it’s a three-way tie between Marchessault, Smith, and defenseman Nic Hague) has four points.

Many have laughed at Top Line Center Chandler Stephenson in the past, maybe it’s time to give him some credit.

Andrew Mangiapane

Alex Ovechkin is hot on the pursuit of yet another Rocket Richard Trophy with nine goals through eight games.

The players chasing him are last year’s Hart Trophy winner, Connor McDavid, former No. 2 overall pick, Andrei Svechnikov, and… Andrew Mangiapane?

Through seven games this season, Mangiapane has seven goals and he’s a key reason why the Calgary Flames just swept a five-game road trip without trailing at any points during those games.

Everyone has been focused on what’s going to happen with Johnny Gaudreau, one of the top names in next summer’s free-agent market, and Matthew Tkachuk, who’s a restricted free agent at the end of the season, but Mangiapane is looking like a player the Flames should invest in long-term.

He was scooped up in the fifth round of the 2015 draft after being passed over the year before and put up impressive numbers for the Flames’ AHL club before finally breaking into the NHL full-time in 2019-20. He scored 32 points in 68 games that season and then followed it up with another 32-point showing in 56 games in 2021.

This year, it looks like Mangiapane is going to blow those totals out of the water. 32 points is his career-high? Expect that to be his goal total when it’s all said and done.

Andrew Copp

Despite Blake Wheeler and Mark Scheifele only having two games played each at this point, the Winnipeg Jets’ offense is flying high.

They’re 4-2-1 early in the season and they rank fifth in the league with 27 goals scored. Kyle Connor is leading the way with 13 points and Pierre-Luc Dubois has settled into Winnipeg with nine points. The team’s second line is being driven by an unexpected source, as Andrew Copp has nine points in seven games.

Copp, who the taken by the Jets in the fourth round of the 2013 draft, has slowly worked his way up the depth chart in Winnipeg. In his rookie season in 2015-16, he logged just 8:00 per night in 77 games. He largely played on the third and fourth line for four seasons after that before getting a crack in Winnipeg’s top-six in 2021.

Last season, Copp posted a career-high in both goals with 15 and points with 39. This year, he’s on pace to shatter that and he’s playing in all situations. Copp logs an average of 21:14 per game and sees time on Winnipeg power-play and penalty-kill.

He’s picked a great time to have a breakout season as he’s an unrestricted free agent next summer.


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Report from the Rock Growlers secure temporary new home

After the messy breakup between the Newfoundland Growlers and the city of St. John’s earlier this week, and the subsequent announcement that the team would be temporarily relocating to Toronto, local fans were not expecting any sort of update on when they’d possibly see their team back on the Rock again for a long time.

And instead we get one about three days later.

Conception Bay South is a town about 15 kilometres outside of St. John’s, their arena is used primarily for minor hockey and adult rec leagues. It has a maximum capacity of just over 1000 spectators, which is a far cry from the 7000 that can be hosted by Mary Browns Centre, but for the sake of playing in front of home fans, it’s a step in the right direction.

The team says that information about how many fans will be permitted, ticket availability and how this situation will impact season ticket holders will be released in the coming days ahead of the home opener on Friday, November 5th.

Additionally, Deacon Sports, the ownership group behind the Growlers announced that they have served a Notice of Default to the city of St. John’s, stating “There was simply no legal mechanism for SJSEL to suspend the current lease agreement and bar DSE from Mary Browns Centre.” The full statement can be read here and we’ll be monitoring this situation for future updates.

Lastly, while this initial homestand will take place in C.B.S. Arena, there is some potential news on the future permanent home of the Growlers on the horizon. In a few weeks, the Growlers owner will be speaking at a luncheon hosted by the Mount Pearl-Paradise Chamber of Commerce on the topic of the future of pro sports in Newoundland. Coincidence? I think not.

More news on that story as it develops. For now, turn up your stereos cuz the B’ys Are Back In Town (sort of)!

Jacob Markstrm becomes first Flames goaltender ever to record three shutouts in four games

In case you couldn’t tell, Jacob Markström is feeling it right now.

With a 4-0 win over the Philadelphia Flyers on Saturday, Markström became the first goaltender in Calgary Flames history to record three shutouts in four games.

Markström made 20 saves in the victory, improving to 4-1-1 with a .957 save percentage on the season. He tied his single-season career-high with his third shutout of the year.

According to Natural Stat Trick, the Flyers generated 2.05 expected goals in all situations in Saturday’s game (Calgary managed 3.93). Instead, Markström held them to zero.

Sean Monahan, Matthew Tkachuk, Mikael Backlund, and Johnny Gaudreau scored for Calgary, which won its sixth consecutive game.

Markström has allowed just one goal in his last four starts, posting a 4-0-0 record and a .992 save percentage in that span. He has not allowed a goal in 134:45 of playing time.

The Flames will shoot for a seventh consecutive win when they take on the Nashville Predators on Nov. 2. Puck-drop at Scotiabank Saddledome will go at 7:00 p.m. MT; you’ll be able to catch that game on Sportsnet 360 and Sportsnet 960 The Fan.

CanucksArmy post game Oilers dynamite power play comes through to beat Canucks 2-1

The Edmonton Oilers and their red-hot power play were in Vancouver on Saturday night as the Canucks continued the hunt for their first home win of the season.

42% of the Oilers’ goals have come on the power play this season. This is called foreshadowing, folks.

The Canucks got Jason Dickinson back in the lineup tonight, and Rathbone slotted back in after being a healthy scratch on Thursday night.

Let’s do this!

Lineups

 

First Period

Elias Pettersson hasn’t looked like himself to begin the new season.

He’s bobbled pucks, had mental lapses at both ends of the ice, and hasn’t looked like the player Canucks fans have come to know and love.

When you talk to those around the team — whether that be Pettersson’s teammates or coaches — the common theme is that everyone fully believes Pettersson is going to turn things around sooner or later.

Tonight, he showed glimpses of his old self.

Pettersson created the game’s first quality chance by breaking out of the Canucks’ end, dangling his way through a couple of Oilers in the neutral zone, and letting go of a wrister on Mikko Koskinen.

Early on in the first, the Canucks’ breakout was actually looking better than it has in recent memory. That didn’t last long, but a lot of the successful breakouts early on were due to Pettersson controlling the play as fans are so used to seeing him do.

Unsurprisingly, Conor Garland appeared to have his legs early on. He had more shots on goal than any player on either team after 20 minutes of play with three.

Nils Höglander left the bench in the first period but returned after missing just two shifts.

Tyler Myers took a hooking penalty at 9:40 of the first and sent the ultra-dangerous Oilers power play over the boards.

Coming into tonight’s game, the Oilers’ power play was clicking at an incredible rate of 43%.

To the surprise of very few, they managed to convert on their first man advantage of the night.

That wasn’t before Thatcher Demko absolutely robbed Connor McDavid, who let go of a perfectly executed one-timer.

At the other end, Justin Bailey caught the Oilers’ breakout crew off guard when he pounced on a loose puck with an incredibly aggressive forecheck and centred for J.T. Miller who ripped the puck wide.

It was a solid moment for Bailey to add to his penalty-killing highlight reel.

Unfortunately for the Canucks, the Oilers managed to convert with just one second remaining on the Myers penalty when Warren Foegle swept a puck past Demko on a broken play in front of the Canucks’ netminder to make it 1-0 Oilers.

Right after the power play marker, Jack Rathbone and Luke Schenn had a miscommunication that nearly led to the Oilers converting once again.

The Canucks struggled to cleanly break out of their own zone and made numerous sloppy giveaways that led to dangerous chances for the Oilers.

Thankfully, Demko brought his A-game once again, and the Canucks escaped the first period down by just one goal.

Second Period

The second period started off with a bang when Hughes let go of a shot from the side wall which rang off the post and led to a mad scramble for a loose puck that sat dangerously close to the Oilers’ goal line. Pettersson whacked away at it, but an Oilers stick managed to influence the puck to go wide of the net.

The Lotto Line continued their strong start to the second period, when Hughes once again let go of a point shot that led to a loose puck in front of Koskinen.

Then the Lotto Line had the shift that really made you think they’re on the cusp of breaking through.

Not only did they control the zone for an extended period of time against the McDavid line, but they also came this close to tying up the game.

In no way are we trying to say coming close is good enough for the Canucks’ top line that has been incredibly lacklustre to start the new season, but to see them at least getting close and controlling the zone in a manner that gave flashbacks to 2019-20, was a sight for sore eyes.

Justin Bailey was added to Horvat and Pearson’s line with roughly seven minutes remaining. The 26-year-old forward, who has been described numerous times as the faster player in the AHL, used his trademark speed to pickpocket Darnell Nurse along the wall before centring the puck for Horvat and Pearson, neither of whom could get the puck to cooperate.

Surprise surprise, the Lotto Line spent another shift in the offensive zone. They were knocking on the door once again, but couldn’t find the back of the net.

Garland had one of the best shifts by any Canuck this season with about five minutes remaining in the second. He put the Oilers in the proverbial spin cycle as he twisted his way away from danger numerous times. When he finally got knocked to the ice and off the puck, he sprung right back to his feet to cleanly puck off the Oilers’ attempted breakout.

Oliver Ekman-Larsson took a two minute penalty for high sticking with just over two minutes remaining in the second, sending the ever-dangerous Edmonton power play back to work.

The Oilers managed to get a prime look in close for Leon Draisatil within just seconds of the power play starting, but the puck was unintentionally blocked by Zach Hyman.

Draisatl got another opportunity, and this time, didn’t miss. 2-0 Oilers.

The Oilers’ power play: it’s good, folks.

Third Period

The Canucks needed to come out firing in the third, and needed their top gunners to finally break through.

Most importantly, they needed to stay out of the box.

As has already been mentioned, Demko was sharp in this one, and he was tested early in the third.

Horvat, Podkolzin, and Garland were put together for a shift and generated a couple of good chances on their first shift as a trio.

Garland was especially sharp in this one, and was a big reason this line managed to string a couple of chances together.

Connor McDavid turned on the jets and blew past Luke Schenn, and then shortly after, found himself in alone on Demko once again.

In case it wasn’t abundantly clear already, Thatcher Demko showed just how important he is to this team once again tonight with saves like these.

The Lotto Line continued to go toe-to-toe with the McDavid line, but didn’t control possession against Edmonton’s top line the way they did in the second.

Quinn Hughes defended incredibly well in this one, and did a good job to keep the time and space allotted to McDavid’s line to a minimum.

Down by two with just over six minutes to go, the Canucks began to shorten their bench as they hunted a goal. Ekman-Larsson and Hughes found themselves on a pairing together as the Canucks thought with a pure offensive mindset.

With 4:11 remaining in the third, J.T. Miller circled with the puck in his own end.

He waved to Thatcher Demko to go to the bench. It didn’t appear that Demko had yet been summoned to the bench, but the went anyway.

Then Darnell Nurse took a cross-checking with three minutes remaining.

Jason King was extremely vocal during the stoppage in play as the Canucks tried to draw something up in a hurry.

The Canucks cycled the puck around and generated some quality chances. Unfortunately for the Canucks, Koskinen was saving his best for last.

The Oilers goaltender made two huge saves that undoubtedly left Peter Chiarelli — the man whose final piece of business as Edmonton GM was to sign Koskinen to his current headscratcher of a contract — smiling.

With five seconds remaining, Brock Boeser corralled the puck, and in one swift motion, broke up Koskinen’s shutout with the 100th goal of his NHL career. 2-1 Oilers.

Unfortunately for the Canucks, they just ran out of time in this one.

The Fancies

Wrap Up

The Oilers’ power play increased its power play conversion percentage to 47.8% on the season. That’s almost a coin flip of whether or not they’re going to convert when given the opportunity on the man advantage.

The Canucks just couldn’t get the job done tonight, and as captain Bo Horvat said, that’s just not good enough.

Playing well defensively and generating quality chances is a great starting point, but you can only pick up moral victories for so long before it becomes too hard to catch up in the standings.

The Canucks will be back in action on Tuesday night when they welcome the New York Rangers for game four of this seven game home stand.

After carpooling with Yzerman, Veleno records first career multi-point game in 5-4 Red Wings loss to Toronto

Detroit Red Wings center Joe Veleno picked up the second and third points of his National Hockey League career during Saturday’s 5-4 loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Veleno scored the Red Wings’ second goal of the game before setting up the third, picking up his first NHL assist in the process.

Just over a minute after Alexander Kerfoot scored to give Toronto a 3-1 lead early in the third period, Veleno answered to bring his team back within one goal. Red Wings forechecker Michael Rasmussen picked up the puck behind the Toronto net after a turnover by Travis Dermott and spotted Veleno wide-open in the slot.

After receiving a tape-to-tape pass, Veleno one-timed a quick shot over Petr Mrazek’s blocker for his first goal of the season (and the second of his career). Take it away, Bally Sports Detroit:

Leafs captain John Tavares made it a 4-2 game at the 7:47 mark of the third period; Veleno helped Detroit return the favor less than three minutes later.

With a penalty set to be called against Toronto, the Wings controlled the puck in the offensive zone. Veleno received a pass to the slot from Jordan Oesterle and proceeded to undress William Nylander before setting up Vladislav Namestnikov for a tap-in goal at the side of Mrazek’s net.

Talk about a memorable first NHL helper. Here’s the video, via Ryan Hana on Twitter:

With Tyler Bertuzzi ineligible to play in Canada due to his unvaccinated status, the Red Wings recalled Veleno from the American Hockey League before the game on Saturday.

Wings general manager Steve Yzerman personally drove Veleno from Detroit to Toronto.

Detroit’s two Filips — Zadina and Hronek — both added goals on Saturday. In addition to Kerfoot and Tavares, Jake Muzzin, Michael Bunting, and Mitch Marner scored for the Leafs.

Red Wings goaltender Thomas Greiss allowed five goals on 38 shots in the loss. Mrazek, the former Wing, made 27 saves for his first victory in Toronto colors.

After falling short in Toronto, the Red Wings now have a 4-3-2 record on the season. They’ll return to action on Nov. 2 at the Bell Centre — again without Bertuzzi — to take on the 2-7-0 Montreal Canadiens.

GDB 7.0 Wrap Up Special teams get the Oilers back in the win column with huge 2-1 win in Vancouver

That’s how you do it, baby! Final Score: 2-1 Oilers

I said it this morning and I’ll say it again now: the Vancouver Canucks are a weird team to me. With plenty of skill littered throughout their lineup, the Canucks are the kind of team that can burn you on some nights and look like they don’t even belong in the league on others, meaning that I really wasn’t sure what to expect from them in this second matchup of the season series. Yet, against the Oilers, the Canucks always seem to raise their level of play and that meant our boys were going to have to match their intensity and be at their best by playing the kind of structured game that should allow them to avoid dropping a second straight game. And if they could get a good start, maybe it would be enough to push the Canucks off a ledge and into a four-game losing streak. That was the theory anyway. The good news is that the boys understood the assignment and got to work right from the moment the puck dropped, setting the tone with an early goal that gave them a lead that they carried into the intermission.

Heading into the second period, I was looking for the Oilers to keep the hammer down and not let Vancouver get up off the mat. We’ve talked a lot about flexing a killer instinct and this was the perfect time to show it. I wanted more goals, cement shoes, and the whole lot. Instead, what we got was a much better effort from a desperate Canucks team as they tried to claw their way back, but the Oilers did a nice job of bending without breaking under the pressure.  As much as there were scrambly patches that were frustrating to watch, the important part is that Edmonton found a way to make it through unscathed which turned out to be incredibly important because it allowed their power play to extend the lead to two goals before the break. Up by a pair with 20 minutes to play, the Oilers had the table set to pick up two big points if they could find a way to keep pushing forward, meaning that I wanted to see them keep fighting for offence rather than trying to sit on the lead.

In the end, the Oilers weren’t able to get another goal to nail the coffin shut nor were they able to keep Vancouver off the board, but their strong play was rewarded with two big points and that’s what matters most. And with Demko keeping the game way closer than it probably should have been, I think the Oilers should be pretty satisfied with their victory because this was a night that easily could have been stolen from them.

The wrap.

THE BRIGHT SIDE

  • Warren Foegele opened the scoring for the Oilers (1-0) on the power play when he had a rebound kick out to him in the crease and used quick hands to bang it over the line. It’s not very often that the second power play unit gets to go out, but they made the most of their time and got the boys on the board with a massive goal to grab the lead.
  • Leon Draisaitl extended the Oilers lead (2-0) with another power play goal near the end of the second period after Nugent-Hopkins set him up for a one-timer from his office along the boards that beat Demko cleanly.
  • I know he threw another point on the pile, but I need to take a minute to talk about how amazing Connor McDavid was in this hockey game. The fact that he didn’t score at least a goal or two was almost a crime because it seemed like he was creating offensive chances every single time he was on the ice. On the power play or even strength, McDavid was unstoppable and I wanted to make sure to give him some love for what was another incredible effort by the captain. I mean, the dude finished the game with nine shots on goal. That’s ridiculous.
  • I know a bunch of us were worried about what we’d get from Koskinen in his fourth straight start, but the big man was unbelievable between the pipes despite not being nearly as busy as his counterpart at the other end. From start to finish, Kostco made all of the saves you’d want from your starter and some that probably could have gone in the net, rebounding incredibly well after a tougher outing against the Flyers on Wednesday night. Koskinen finished the night with 29 saves and a .967 save%.
  • Evan Bouchard is just so good already, isn’t he? I mean, he’s already moved up to the top pairing in the lineup and hasn’t really looked out of place, which makes me insanely excited to find out where his ceiling will be. In 24:19  in TOI, Bouchard finished with one on goal, three blocks, and an assist.
  • How about Ryan Nugent-Hopkins quietly finding himself on a six-game point streak? I know we’d love to see RNH get a goal or two soon, but it’s hard to argue with the 10 points he’s put on the board so far.
  • I thought the Keith – Ceci pairing had a quiet, non-event night, which is exactly what you want from your second pairing.
  • I liked Zack Kassian’s game and it is remarkable how noticeable he can be when he’s playing at his best, a sight we didn’t get nearly enough of last year.
  • As we’ve seen all season, the Oilers’ power play is unbelievable and they were at it again tonight, scoring two goals on two chances with the man advantage. Keep taking penalties, people.
  • Once again, the PK was also excellent for Edmonton as they were able to kill off Vancouver’s one chance to be up a man. Even more impressive was the fact that the Canucks had the goalie pulled at the time, putting the Oilers down by two at a critical stage of the hockey game.
  • Isn’t it amazing what having a competent third line can do? Wow. WOW.
  • For the fans of shots on goal, I’m thrilled to report that the Oilers outshot the Canucks by a 34-30 margin. Always love the Corski.
  • I know you’ve been waiting patiently for the part of the Wrap Up where I tell you that the Oilers won 50% of the faceoffs. Well, here it is.

THE FACE PALMERS

  • Brock Boeser got the Canucks on the board with five seconds left in the third period with a bullet of a wrister from the circle that beat Koskinen up and over the shoulder. Honestly, I felt bad for Mikko when the shot went in because I thought it would have been pretty cool for him to respond to Wednesday’s loss with a shutout.
  • The Oilers stopped moving their feet for a big chunk of the second period and I thought they were very lucky that they didn’t get burned during the lull. Koskinen made some big saves and the boys got some luck with the posts, but there was a period of about five minutes that was pretty rough.
  • If I’m going to nitpick, I think the Oilers gave the Canucks too many quality chances to score in the third period and that’s a detail I’d love to see them clean up sooner than later.
  • Thatcher Demko was incredibly annoying again and it was because of him that the score wasn’t more lopsided than it ended up.
  • How many posts did the Oilers hit tonight? Two? Three? It was wild.

SCORING SUMMARY

#GOODCONTENT

 

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Daily NHL Betting Guide October 30

Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.

During the 2021-22 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.

Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via PointsBet), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.

You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:

All “Recommended Bets” are 1 unit wagers.

I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.

The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.


October 30th, 2021

Recommended Bets

Winnipeg Jets (@ SJS)

As I mentioned last week when I bet Nashville vs. San Jose, the Sharks offence was fortunate to have as much success as they did early on. Since I stated that, they’ve scored just one goal in two games. They are 30th in xGF/60 (1.84) but come into Saturday in a coin-flip matchup with the Jets. Winnipeg has been able to continue scoring even without Mark Scheiffele and Blake Wheeler and enter play on a four-game winning streak. They are also expected to get Wheeler back tonight and will have the edge in net with Connor Hellebuyck likely to face James Reimer.

1 Unit Bet: WPG -110

Pittsburgh Penguins (vs. NJD)

I have pushed back against the model a little bit when it comes to the Penguins because of all of their injuries. That will come to an end tonight with Sidney Crosby and Jeff Carter returning to the lineup. Without Jack Hughes, the Devils are 1-2-0 and have scored just six goals (2.0 GF/gm). With a lack of offence and a matchup vs. a Penguins team that leads the NHL in xGA/60 (1.84) does not set up well for New Jersey.

1 Unit Bet: PIT -160

Detroit Red Wings (@ TOR)

This bet comes with obvious risk. The Red Wings are travelling to Toronto on the tail-end of a back-to-back and will be without Tyler Bertuzzi, who is ineligible to play in Canada due to his COVID-19 vaccination status. Still, the model gives them a 35.6 percent chance to win, which offers bettors plenty of value on a Red Wings team that is +235 at PointsBet.

Given how much trouble the Maple Leafs had in Chicago, they still don’t appear to be 100 percent right yet. The Red Wings continue to play everyone tough, handing the Capitals their first loss of the season and nearly doing the same vs. Florida last night. There is upset potential here.

1 Unit Bet: DET +235


Lines to Watch

Colorado Avalanche (vs. MIN)

The Avalanche continues to work through a tough start to the season and Saturday will be another hurdle. It will be their first matchup of the season vs. Minnesota, a team they were 5-2-1 against last year. Even though they will be without Mikko Rantanen, they will get Samuel Girard back. Meanwhile, the Wild could have major injury concerns. In their last game, they were without Mats Zuccarello (COVID-19), Rem Pitlick (COVID-19), Alex Goligoski (upper-body) and Dmitry Kulikov (lower-body). The Wild lost 4-1 in Minnesota without those four on Thursday, so they could be in trouble in Colorado tonight.


2021-22 Season Record

  • Record: 12-8
  • Units: +1.48
  • ROI: +7.40%

The post Daily NHL Betting Guide: October 30 appeared first on Daily Faceoff.


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