Welcome to our Betting Guide brought to you by NHL Betting site Betway!
Getting a little skin in the game can make watching NHL hockey even more exciting.
During the 2022-23 season, Daily Faceoff will help you become an improved bettor thanks to this betting model and our betting tools.
NHL MODEL PICKS
Each day we will look at each game, the Sportsbook Odds (via Betway), and the odds of each team winning based on the model created by Philip Bulsink. Based on those two numbers, we can quickly identify which teams we need to bet on, which teams to avoid and which lines to keep an eye on throughout the day.
You can quickly determine which teams are the best bets by following this simple table:
I will also provide some analysis on the best bets and update this post throughout the day to point out big injury news, lineup changes, and backup goalies starting.
The number to keep an eye on is the “Diff.” which is the percentage difference between the model’s projected Win% and the projected Win% based on PointsBet odds. To find out how odds turn into percentages, use our Odds Calculator.
Wednesday, December 14
- Record: 48-33
- Units: +24.01
- ROI: +29.27%
The model would like Montreal if you can find them around +196 and Vancouver around +181, but at their current odds, the model is not recommending any bets tonight.
BONUS: Prop Bet
Josh Anderson ov2.5 SOG (+105)
Anderson has hit this prop in 11 of his last 14 games (78.6%), averaging 3.0 shots per game over that stretch. Tonight he faces a Senators team that gives up the seventh-most shots against/60 (32.8) in the NHL this season. According to our DFS Matchup Charts, Anderson’s line is expected to go head-to-head with Ottawa’s third line for roughly 50 percent of their ice-time. OTT3 has a 65.2 CorsiAgainst/60, the third-highest among all lines on tonight’s three-game slate.
1 Unit Bet: Josh Anderson ov2.5 SOG (+105)