First and foremost, Happy Canadian Thanksgiving and Columbus Day! There are seven games on the NHL slate today, and all seven are featured on DraftKings main slate, set to start at 1 PM EST. I’ve highlighted my top high-priced, medium-priced, and value stacks for the holiday slate. Best of luck and enjoy your holiday!
Colorado 1 – Nathan MacKinnon ($7,700), Gabriel Landeskog ($7,000), Mikko Rantanen ($7,100)
It should come as no surprise that Colorado’s top line is the best high-priced option on the slate. While the Capitals boast some of the best special teams units in the NHL, they tend to surrender plenty of scoring chances at even strength. Nicklas Backstrom, Alex Ovechkin, and Tom Wilson routinely go up against the opposition’s best on home ice. That sets them up for a clash with the MacKinnon line, a lopsided matchup to say the least.
Washington 1 surrendered over 32 scoring chances and 16 high-danger chances per 60 at 5v5 last season. Colorado 1 is incredibly consistent at producing shots and scoring chances at even strength, giving them a very high floor today. They average just under 40 shots per 60 and own a 57.89 SCF% and a 61.54 HDCF%. Their projected shot production makes them a safe bet to return value, and it’s hard to imagine them not getting at least one puck passed Braden Holtby today. They’re incredibly pricey at a combined $21,800 on DraftKings, but full stacking them will really help differentiate your lineup.
St. Louis 1 – Jaden Schwartz ($4,300), Brayden Schenn ($5,400), Vladimir Tarasenko ($6,500)
The price of this premier top line continues to plummet on DraftKings, and today’s matchup with the Islanders is an excellent time to buy low. At 31.81 SCA/60, no one is surrendering more chances at 5v5 than the Islanders. They’ve been completely outworked at even strength and are fortunate to own a 2-3-0 record.
On home ice, Brock Nelson has been the one to endure the toughest matchups at 5v5. He’s struggled mightily in that role, posting a 37.50 CF% and a 39.34 SCF%. Nelson projects to be completely outmatched by St. Louis 1 today, making Schenn, Tarasenko, and Schwartz a terrific full stack. Dating back to last season, the Blues’ top trio is averaging 32 scoring and 14 high-danger chances per 60. All three of them also play together on the power-play, adding to their upside. It’s only a matter of time before the pucks start going in for St. Louis 1. At a combined $16,200, this might be the lowest we see them priced all season long.
Minnesota 1 – Zach Parise ($4,900), Mikko Koivu ($4,400), Jason Zucker ($5,200)
Minnesota’s top line offers tremendous value in their matchup against the Senators today. Sens head coach DJ Smith has opted for a simple top-nine vs top-nine mix in his first few home games as Ottawa’s bench boss. That bodes well for Parise, Koivu, and Zucker, who should boast a significant advantage at 5v5 no matter which line they’re up against.
Parise is a recent addition to the line, but Koivu and Zucker have already asserted themselves as a dominant presence at 5v5. They own some remarkable possession rates in 2019-20, including a 63.38 CF%, a 69.23 SCF%, and a 76.92 HDCF%. Despite all that, the three of them combine for just three goals and one assist on the season. Monday’s matinee clash in Ottawa screams breakout performance for this underperforming top line. Ottawa surrenders their fair share of scoring chances, and their goaltending is among the worst in the league. Minnesota 1 is an absolute lock to return value in this matchup.
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