DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS		Defense
MORGAN RIELLY Rating: 77.6#4 LD	CODY CECI Rating: 72.0#79 RD	DL1 Rating Rating: 74.78#19 DL1
JAKE MUZZIN Rating: 74.7#26 LD	TYSON BARRIE Rating: 77.9#8 RD	DL2 Rating Rating: 76.31#2 DL2
RASMUS SANDIN Rating: 74.0#43 LD	JUSTIN HOLL Rating: 73.5#42 RD	DL3 Rating Rating: 73.78#5 DL3

LW	C	RW	Forwards
STEVEN STAMKOS Rating: 80.4#4 LW	BRAYDEN POINT Rating: 80.1#8 C	NIKITA KUCHEROV Rating: 83.7#1 RW	FL1 Rating Rating: 81.42#2 FL1
ONDREJ PALAT Rating: 72.2#87 LW	ANTHONY CIRELLI Rating: 73.3#72 C	ALEX KILLORN Rating: 73.0#79 RW	FL2 Rating Rating: 72.84#27 FL2
MATHIEU JOSEPH Rating: 71.6#101 LW	TYLER JOHNSON Rating: 72.3#101 C	YANNI GOURDE Rating: 73.1#48 RW	FL3 Rating Rating: 72.34#13 FL3
PATRICK MAROON Rating: 73.2#65 LW	CARTER VERHAEGHE Rating: 74.0#58 C	LUKE WITKOWSKI Rating: 68.6#112 RW	FL4 Rating Rating: 71.94#7 FL4

DEFENSIVE PAIRINGS		Defense
VICTOR HEDMAN Rating: 77.3#5 LD	JAN RUTTA Rating: 71.5#86 RD	DL1 Rating Rating: 74.39#21 DL1
RYAN MCDONAGH Rating: 74.8#23 LD	ERIK CERNAK Rating: 74.4#29 RD	DL2 Rating Rating: 74.60#11 DL2
MIKHAIL SERGACHEV Rating: 74.7#25 LD	KEVIN SHATTENKIRK Rating: 73.1#48 RD	DL3 Rating Rating: 73.93#3 DL3

And now five things to watch for…

1. Will this be the Kapanen breakout game?

Here’s the thing. Pretty much every Leaf fan can appreciate some aspect of Kapanen’s game. And I firmly believe that no one has written him off and sees him as the future whipping boy for this season. That being said, he has to be better and playing with Tavares and Marner should be something that elevates Kapanen’s game, not shine a light on his limitations. That being said, I’m curious if tonight marks the end of the experiment. All three players on that line have suffered at even strength and change can do them all some good. Keeping the band together against the Lightning makes some sense, but playing against the Red Wings should allow for the Leafs to try something new without risking too much. If things don’t get better tonight, I’d reasonably expect things to be addressed by the weekend.

2. Sandin’s toughest competition

Not that the Blues are any slouches, but the Lightning are much more deep offensively and there’s no place to hide your third pairing against a team like this. Sandin’s been solid at what has been thrown at him, but a best case scenario of seeing a ton of Tyler Johnson and Yanni Gourde still poses a good threat, though one he’ll likely be facing with Martin Marincin, who has been his stronger partner this year.

3. Andersen vs. Vasilevskiy

Andersen has had a slow start to the year, though it’s worth pointing out that slow start includes a .918 save percentage. Historically October is Andersen’s second worst month for save percentage, only preceded by March (OVERWORKED ALERT!!!) and if his struggles include have a GSAA of 1.19 he’s doing okayish. So far he’s only had one quality start out of three, and has been good for one true stinker every game. The Lightning will give him a lot of work, and hopefully that work acts as a slump buster.

As for Vasilevskiy, his numbers have been worse than Andersen’s this year. So maybe we ease up on our beautiful Danish ginger.

4. Was Matthews inspired by James Neal?

No one should be happy by what’s going on in Edmonton outside of people who live in Edmonton. Even then, you’d think the decade+ of darkness would have trained them to know reality will eventually kick in. That said, James Neal currently sits a top the league in goal scoring, and I wonder if the Leafs part time alternate captain will let that stand. Maybe the Lightning aren’t the most likely of teams for Auston to light up, but if the Leafs are going to be a top tier team this year, he can’t just beat up on Ottawa and Columbus.

5. Brayden Point’s return means the Lightning are a fully operational Death Star

The interesting thing about this is that the Lightning aren’t quite as intimidating as they were last season. Sure Point, Hedman, Kucherov, Stamkos, and Vasilevskiy should still scare the crap out of us, but some of the high calibre depth like J.T. Miller and Anton Stralman has disappeared without replacement, and that’s a positive. The Leafs did a better job of holding firm on their keeping their talent on their roster this season, and possibly upgraded in some cases. The Lightning may have had more to work with, but the Leafs could be closing the gap and on their best day could compete with the Lightning for top of the division/conference/league. Hopefully tonight shows that.

The game starts tonight at 7PM ET and can be seen on Sportsnet Ontario.